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rollout
Posted By: happyjuggler0 In Response To: From hopeless to hopeful to a cube decision (happyjuggler0)
Date: Saturday, 10 May 2008, at 3:14 p.m.
I forgot I posted this position, or I would've posted the rollout sooner, not to mention I would have done a longer rollout. But considering this position isn't going to come up again any time soon, I'm done here.
Anyway, I passed here and lost the match anyway. Oh well.
The score (after 1 game) is: white 1, blue 0 (match to 3 points)
Move number 85: white on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: white 29, blue 64
Position ID: 72oHAAEJAAAEAA Match ID: MAFgABAAAAAA
• white doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.001)! [doubtful]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.934 (Money: +0.790) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +1.001 2. Double, take +1.097 +0.096 3. Double, pass +1.000 -0.001 Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (0.7%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.782 0.193 0.033 - 0.218 0.000 0.000 +0.934 +1.001 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.008 Player blue owns 2-cube 0.763 0.307 0.097 - 0.237 0.000 0.000 +1.699 +1.097 Standard error 0.002 0.006 0.005 - 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.013 0.020 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 822737664 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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