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rollout

Posted By: happyjuggler0
Date: Saturday, 10 May 2008, at 3:14 p.m.

In Response To: From hopeless to hopeful to a cube decision (happyjuggler0)

I forgot I posted this position, or I would've posted the rollout sooner, not to mention I would have done a longer rollout. But considering this position isn't going to come up again any time soon, I'm done here.

Anyway, I passed here and lost the match anyway. Oh well.

The score (after 1 game) is: white 1, blue 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 85: white on roll, cube decision?


1X '1X ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' '

4O3O1O1O2O3O ' ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: white 29, blue 64
Position ID: 72oHAAEJAAAEAA Match ID: MAFgABAAAAAA

• white doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.001)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.934(Money: +0.790)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +1.001
2.Double, take +1.097 +0.096
3.Double, pass +1.000 -0.001
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (0.7%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7820.1930.033-0.2180.0000.000 +0.934 +1.001
Standard error0.0020.0020.002-0.0020.0000.000 0.005 0.008
Player blue owns 2-cube0.7630.3070.097-0.2370.0000.000 +1.699 +1.097
Standard error0.0020.0060.005-0.0020.0000.000 0.013 0.020
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 822737664 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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