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The 102% oxymoron

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Wednesday, 21 December 2016, at 4:41 p.m.

In Response To: The 102% oxymoron (mamabear)

I suspect you have a fundamental misunderstanding of the variance reduction technique. Or maybe I do. In the following situation I believe that the luck adjustment will say B is the better player. But from your earlier post it seems you think that that luck adjustment will say A is the better player. Have I understood correctly what you were saying in the previous post?

Suppose that players A and B play matches repeatedly. They both play the checkers perfectly. Player A also offers cubes theoretically perfectly and player B takes or drops theoretically perfectly. Player A though takes literally every cube that is offered, even if the game is gin. Player B knows that and adjusts cube actions to take advantage of that fact by waiting to double until the game is gin or in some circumstances could end on his roll.

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