After 10k rollouts, P is very slightly better than U at DMP:
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 160 | | 1 point match | pip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----EBB---dD---bbe----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.043 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.13% (G:19.26% B:2.53%)
47.87% (G:14.44% B:1.99%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.041...+0.045) - [99.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 12 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22 24/20 | eq: +0.039 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.95% (G:14.31% B:1.84%)
48.05% (G:14.56% B:1.53%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.037...+0.041) - [0.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 25 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 24/20 13/11 | eq: +0.019 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.94% (G:15.88% B:2.01%)
49.06% (G:16.73% B:2.23%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.013...+0.025) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/22 13/9 | eq: +0.016 (-0.027) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.79% (G:17.21% B:1.86%)
49.21% (G:15.60% B:1.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.010...+0.021) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
U comes out slightly ahead at GS:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 160 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 160
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----EBB---dD---bbe----B-:0:0:1:42:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/22 24/20 | eq: -0.234 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.79% (G:14.95% B:2.05%)
48.21% (G:13.50% B:1.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.237...-0.231) - [99.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: -0.240 (-0.005) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.42% (G:19.09% B:2.85%)
48.58% (G:13.40% B:1.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.242...-0.237) - [0.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 24/22 13/9 | eq: -0.269 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.35% (G:16.81% B:2.09%)
49.65% (G:13.77% B:1.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.276...-0.261) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/20 13/11 | eq: -0.273 (-0.039) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.49% (G:16.21% B:2.42%)
49.51% (G:14.16% B:1.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.281...-0.266) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
I would have quickly made the 4-point at either score while the XGR++ eval likes U at both scores.