BGonline.org Forums

Rollout at GG and for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 17 January 2017, at 3:26 a.m.

In Response To: Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position (Timothy Chow)

According to the rollouts below, the #1 play at GG is a whopper for money. At GG, after 11/6 10/9, XG doesn't even hit 22/16* with a roll of 63 or 65.

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 125 2 point match Crawford pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bBBB-B-ACbB---c-d-Aaab-:0:0:1:51:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	11/6 10/9	eq: +0.598
	Player: Opponent: 64.82% (G:15.10% B:1.46%) 35.18% (G:12.66% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.591...+0.605) - [100.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 14 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/16 10/9	eq: +0.556 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 65.11% (G:12.69% B:1.21%) 34.89% (G:12.31% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.549...+0.563) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 08 seconds
3.	Rollout1	11/5	eq: +0.542 (-0.056)
	Player: Opponent: 64.13% (G:12.99% B:1.21%) 35.87% (G:10.22% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.536...+0.549) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 13 seconds
4.	Rollout1	11/10 11/6	eq: +0.536 (-0.062)
	Player: Opponent: 63.75% (G:13.07% B:1.15%) 36.25% (G:10.43% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.530...+0.542) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 30 seconds
5.	Rollout1	21/20 11/6	eq: +0.520 (-0.078)
	Player: Opponent: 63.84% (G:12.17% B:0.99%) 36.16% (G:9.93% B:0.09%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.515...+0.526) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 48 seconds
6.	Rollout1	21/15	eq: +0.516 (-0.082)
	Player: Opponent: 66.23% (G:9.58% B:0.81%) 33.77% (G:7.31% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.510...+0.522) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 57 seconds
7.	Rollout1	10/4	eq: +0.511 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 62.68% (G:12.88% B:1.27%) 37.32% (G:11.27% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.505...+0.517) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 18 seconds
8.	Rollout1	13/7	eq: +0.511 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 60.11% (G:15.46% B:2.03%) 39.89% (G:17.05% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.504...+0.518) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 55 seconds
9.	Rollout1	21/16 11/10	eq: +0.500 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 65.64% (G:9.35% B:0.73%) 34.36% (G:7.46% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.494...+0.506) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 41 seconds
10.	Rollout1	13/8 11/10	eq: +0.499 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 62.33% (G:12.62% B:0.99%) 37.67% (G:10.72% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.492...+0.505) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 13 seconds
11.	Rollout1	13/8 10/9	eq: +0.496 (-0.102)
	Player: Opponent: 58.92% (G:15.90% B:2.30%) 41.08% (G:18.85% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.489...+0.503) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 34 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

For money:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bBBB-B-ACbB---c-d-Aaab-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	21/15	eq: +0.604
	Player: Opponent: 66.91% (G:9.66% B:0.46%) 33.09% (G:7.18% B:0.08%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.591...+0.617) - [95.9%] Duration: 21 minutes 48 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/16 11/10	eq: +0.590 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 66.21% (G:8.21% B:0.35%) 33.79% (G:6.09% B:0.08%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.579...+0.600) - [4.1%] Duration: 22 minutes 25 seconds
3.	Rollout1	21/16 10/9	eq: +0.545 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 65.64% (G:12.11% B:0.60%) 34.36% (G:10.60% B:0.16%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.533...+0.557) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 14 seconds
4.	Rollout1	11/5	eq: +0.505 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 64.54% (G:12.35% B:0.61%) 35.46% (G:10.09% B:0.13%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.494...+0.517) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 29 seconds
5.	Rollout1	10/4	eq: +0.502 (-0.103)
	Player: Opponent: 63.99% (G:11.80% B:0.51%) 36.01% (G:9.35% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.489...+0.514) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 54 seconds
6.	Rollout1	11/10 11/6	eq: +0.494 (-0.110)
	Player: Opponent: 64.05% (G:12.33% B:0.60%) 35.95% (G:10.10% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.482...+0.506) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 07 seconds
7.	Rollout1	21/20 11/6	eq: +0.489 (-0.116)
	Player: Opponent: 64.16% (G:11.87% B:0.56%) 35.84% (G:10.36% B:0.16%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.477...+0.500) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 57 seconds
8.	Rollout1	11/6 10/9	eq: +0.479 (-0.125)
	Player: Opponent: 64.04% (G:15.72% B:0.76%) 35.96% (G:13.27% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.467...+0.491) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 3:46 a.m.
  • Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
    TraumaBG -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 5:06 a.m.
    • Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
      Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 8:16 a.m.
      • Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
        mamabear -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 2:39 p.m.
  • Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 5:29 a.m.
  • Permit me to do something unorthodox for BGO: posting a backgammon position
    ah_clem -- Monday, 16 January 2017, at 2:41 p.m.
  • Rollout at GG and for money
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 17 January 2017, at 3:26 a.m.