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Checker play after an opening cube #3 — 21$-44B-F-C-T-63 — Rollouts

Posted By: Igor
Date: Saturday, 4 February 2017, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: Checker play after an opening cube #3 — 21$-44B-F-C-T-63 (Igor)

It's best to make the 3pt with the cube turned.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:1:-1:1:63:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout19/3 6/3eq: +0.370
Player:
Opponent:
64.72% (G:25.98% B:2.45%)
35.28% (G:6.33% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.364...+0.376) - [100.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout120/14* 14/11eq: +0.354 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
63.74% (G:26.76% B:2.97%)
36.26% (G:6.54% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.348...+0.360) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 35 seconds
3.Rollout120/14* 13/10eq: +0.336 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
63.00% (G:27.02% B:3.05%)
37.00% (G:6.98% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.330...+0.342) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 33 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52121495
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

With the cube in the middle hitting is a stronger candidate, but still trails making the 3pt.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:0:0:1:63:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout19/3 6/3eq: +0.756
Player:
Opponent:
64.64% (G:26.03% B:2.36%)
35.36% (G:6.21% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.749...+0.763) - [97.9%]
Duration: 43 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout120/14* 14/11eq: +0.745 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
63.99% (G:26.60% B:2.90%)
36.01% (G:6.40% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.737...+0.753) - [2.1%]
Duration: 51 minutes 56 seconds
3.Rollout220/14* 13/10eq: +0.707 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
63.03% (G:26.82% B:3.11%)
36.97% (G:6.93% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.695...+0.720) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 28 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84404899
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72869303
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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