It's best to make the 3pt with the cube turned.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 184 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 151 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:1:-1:1:63:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/3 6/3 | eq: +0.370 |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.72% (G:25.98% B:2.45%) 35.28% (G:6.33% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.364...+0.376) - [100.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 14/11 | eq: +0.354 (-0.016) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.74% (G:26.76% B:2.97%) 36.26% (G:6.54% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.348...+0.360) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 13/10 | eq: +0.336 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.00% (G:27.02% B:3.05%) 37.00% (G:6.98% B:0.34%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.330...+0.342) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52121495 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
With the cube in the middle hitting is a stronger candidate, but still trails making the 3pt.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 184 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 151 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:0:0:1:63:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/3 6/3 | eq: +0.756 |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.64% (G:26.03% B:2.36%) 35.36% (G:6.21% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.749...+0.763) - [97.9%] Duration: 43 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 14/11 | eq: +0.745 (-0.011) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.99% (G:26.60% B:2.90%) 36.01% (G:6.40% B:0.27%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.737...+0.753) - [2.1%] Duration: 51 minutes 56 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 20/14* 13/10 | eq: +0.707 (-0.048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.03% (G:26.82% B:3.11%) 36.97% (G:6.93% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.695...+0.720) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84404899 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72869303 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10