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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 24 February 2017, at 2:37 a.m.

In Response To: Random blitz cube (Timothy Chow)

I dropped this but it seems that the White's strong board and the threat of a killer return hit, together with White's pip count advantage, combine to make this a take.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 99
Unlimited Game
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a--BBCC-A---bA--Ab-bBbbbb-:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.82% (G:20.85% B:0.40%) 70.25% (G:21.21% B:0.45%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.18% (G:7.20% B:0.14%) 29.75% (G:7.31% B:0.16%)
Cubeless Equities +0.536 +1.094
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.821 (-0.081)±0.007 (+0.814..+0.828)
Redouble/Take:+0.902±0.013 (+0.890..+0.915)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.098)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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