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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 26 February 2017, at 11:56 p.m.

In Response To: Double from the bar? (Timothy Chow)

I took, but the rollout indicates that it's a pass ATS. (Clear take for money though.)





White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 167
7 point match
pip: 154
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-ba--BCBC---cC--ac-c--b-AA:0:0:1:00:1:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.88% (G:23.64% B:1.84%) 69.10% (G:24.13% B:1.77%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.12% (G:8.32% B:0.46%) 30.90% (G:8.61% B:0.59%)
Cubeless Equities +0.566 +1.238
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.904 (-0.096)±0.014 (+0.891..+0.918)
Double/Take:+1.082 (+0.082)±0.019 (+1.062..+1.101)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 41 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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