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Baseball by the Book - You're the manager

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Monday, 19 May 2008, at 2:09 a.m.

In Response To: Baseball by the Book - You're the manager (dc-ohio)

"So forcing the outfield in is a bad thing? Now mid range flies that would have been easy outs are now game winners"

Your point of midrange flies being turned into hits are balance by short flies that would have previously been singles now being outs instead. Forcing the outfield in would make extra base hits more likely except the extra bases for the batter do not matter.

You responded to my post but not to the actual content of it. I was arguing that your statement that a single would now score the run is not so true. So should it be taken that you concede that point?

"The big thing here is that you don't NEED to score right now. If you were in the same situation but behind a run instead of a tie, I wouldn't bunt"

Being behind by a run means there is benefit to scoring more than one run which does not exist in the original situation. Whether or not bunting increases the chance of scoring at least one run it definitely lowers the chance of scoring more than one. For that reason bunting will have less equity in the second situation.

Bob Koca

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