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Which point to break? #2

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 14 April 2017, at 11:28 p.m.

In Response To: Which point to break? #2 (scotty)

This isn't what I would call a backgame, since O has only one anchor.

This is an amusing position, and I'm not sure how to approach it. The first thing to consider is whether we should play safe at the expense of putting a checker out of play (16/14 3/2(2) or some such). We have such a strong position that I don't think this is the right idea. So that leaves four plays.

I guess one thing to calculate is how many covering numbers we have if we're missed. By this measure, either 16/15 5/2 or 6/2 comes out on top, with 9 covering rolls. Another thing to consider is the strength of our position if White hits. Normally higher points in the board are better, but here I'm not sure that principle applies. White's strategy is going to be to hang back and wait for a shot, and so she wants to hang out deep in our board. Filling in those points deprives her of that option.

I would try 6/2.

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