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Rollout

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Wednesday, 26 April 2017, at 2:22 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

White's unusually bad structure has a lot to do with it I think.

How so? Here is a variant with similar w/g breakdown but more normal structure for White:





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 118
7 point match
pip: 157
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBCBA-b--A---abeBbaBa-:0:0:1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.27% (G:31.65% B:3.45%) 74.48% (G:31.50% B:5.71%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.73% (G:7.85% B:0.57%) 25.52% (G:7.64% B:1.09%)
Cubeless Equities +0.820 +1.335
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.856 (-0.051)±0.016 (+0.840..+0.872)
Double/Take:+0.908±0.021 (+0.886..+0.929)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.092)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90513149
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 15 minutes 27 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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