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Baseball by the Book - You're the manager

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:25 p.m.

In Response To: Baseball by the Book - You're the manager (Keene)

"Pitcher: Strikeout rate, Singles given up, HR's given up, etc Batter 1: Hit Rate, HR's scoring rate, etc.

Then you can easily calculate which play carries the appropriate 'equity' by comparing the 2 plays side by side."

Wouldn't be an easy calculation. Whose rate should you use the pitcher's or the hitter's? Clearly they need to be blended together somehow. I am pretty sure your basic idea has been done. I have seen expected runs tables for number of outs and where baseunners are. This doesn't account for the fact though that a bynt doesn't always work as planned, sometimes it is better sometimes it is worse.

Bob Koca

Messages In This Thread

• Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
  Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 8:55 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 12:54 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 12:58 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:39 p.m.
        • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
          Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:48 p.m.
          • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
            dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 3:19 p.m.
        • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
          bob koca -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
            dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 11:16 p.m.
            • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
              bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 2:09 a.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        Dave -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:48 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 2:35 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    David Rockwell -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 3:43 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Steve Mellen -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:17 p.m.
    • Stick stated score is tied-nt
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:22 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    John Little -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:50 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 7:10 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        John Little -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 4:24 a.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 4:49 a.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        John Little -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 2:11 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Matt Reklaitis -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 5:54 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Marty Storer -- Friday, 30 May 2008, at 11:17 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Keene -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 6:32 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Matt Reklaitis -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:01 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        Bill -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:32 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:25 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Stick -- Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 12:22 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 11:17 a.m.