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Recube action?

Posted By: Sean Garber
Date: Monday, 1 May 2017, at 7:40 p.m.

In Response To: Recube action? (John O'Hagan)

If we look at just the gammon values when the cube is on 4 and 8 and the win and gammon percentages for both players, this position would be in the 'Blue just can't double this' category. Volatility is so darn high, though. Looking at the take for white, Blue has 18 monster numbers. If blue rolls one of the other 18 numbers, this seems to be a 50/50 game on average. That is 25% wins for white right there. White also will a few when blue hops with a 6 and white eventually anchors. White will also win a few when blue makes the deuce point, then eventually breaks. White needs 29% or so to take with the gammons and white looks to have that. As far as Blue's double goes, I'm still going with Blue just can't double this. Blue also doesn't want to give white access to the cube with blue having a lot more gammons than white. Gave a quick thought to Too good/Take (Is that even possible at a 0-0 score? I'm too lazy to work out the numbers right now) but no. No double/Take.

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