It looks like most everyone saw the correct play besides me. I was debating between the 2nd and 3rd plays. I really didn't want to strand my back checkers either, but was wondering how long I could really hold the midpoint for anyhow...plus it seemed rich to leave two blots on the 8 and 9 points. I was mostly shocked by how big an error the other plays were. I figured, even if the 5 point wasn't the best play, it couldn't be a blunder.
            
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 138 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 142
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-B--E-CA--bB--ab-cc-bAA-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2(2) | eq: -0.302 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.82% (G:17.62% B:1.75%)
56.18% (G:26.25% B:2.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.322...-0.282) - [100.0%]
Duration: 40.0 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 6/2(2) | eq: -0.493 (-0.191) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.42% (G:12.64% B:1.17%)
61.58% (G:23.83% B:0.72%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.511...-0.475) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45.1 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: -0.515 (-0.212) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.91% (G:13.63% B:1.13%)
62.09% (G:24.86% B:1.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.530...-0.499) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40.8 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 8/4(2) | eq: -0.578 (-0.275) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.05% (G:12.15% B:0.98%)
63.95% (G:24.79% B:1.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.594...-0.562) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.3 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/5 9/5 6/2 | eq: -0.699 (-0.397) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.53% (G:13.78% B:1.59%)
63.47% (G:32.32% B:3.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.028 (-0.727...-0.672) - [0.0%]
Duration: 53.5 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10