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Later Game Holding Game Cube - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 11:27 p.m.

In Response To: Later Game Holding Game Cube (Stick)

This is a must double against anyone OtB. Should probably even double most against the 20pt anchor.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 120 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bBBBBBB-bA----bdBabb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.54% (G:9.01% B:0.25%)	72.39% (G:9.11% B:0.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.46% (G:2.01% B:0.02%)	27.61% (G:2.15% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.523	+1.040
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.868	±0.013 (+0.855..+0.881)
Double/Take:	+0.864 (-0.004)	±0.015 (+0.849..+0.879)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.132)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.7%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62298537 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		64.5%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 01 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

---

Anchored on the 20pt.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 118 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bBBBBBBbA----bdBabb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	63.82% (G:8.42% B:0.30%)	61.78% (G:8.30% B:0.29%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.18% (G:5.11% B:0.05%)	38.22% (G:5.81% B:0.05%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.312	+0.526
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.458	±0.026 (+0.432..+0.484)
Double/Take:	+0.313 (-0.146)	±0.033 (+0.279..+0.346)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.542)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.5%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62298537 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

---

Anchored on the 22pt.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 122 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 131 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bBBBBBB--bA----bdBabb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	80.53% (G:8.93% B:0.15%)	81.11% (G:9.87% B:0.29%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	19.47% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)	18.89% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.689	+1.425
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.995 (-0.005)	±0.002 (+0.993..+0.997)
Double/Take:	+1.305 (+0.305)	±0.013 (+1.291..+1.318)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62298537 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 09 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Later Game Holding Game Cube
  Stick -- Monday, 15 May 2017, at 12:17 p.m.
  • Later Game Holding Game Cube
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 15 May 2017, at 1:17 p.m.
  • Later Game Holding Game Cube
    ah_clem -- Monday, 15 May 2017, at 2:29 p.m.
    • Later Game Holding Game Cube
      Mike Clapsadle -- Monday, 15 May 2017, at 10:47 p.m.
      • Later Game Holding Game Cube
        David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 3:30 a.m.
        • Later Game Holding Game Cube SPOILER ALERT
          ah_clem -- Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 3:01 p.m.
      • Later Game Holding Game Cube
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 5:28 p.m.
  • Later Game Holding Game Cube
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 5:20 p.m.
  • Later Game Holding Game Cube - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 16 May 2017, at 11:27 p.m.
    • Later Game Holding Game Cube - Rollout
      ah_clem -- Thursday, 18 May 2017, at 2:44 p.m.
      • Later Game Holding Game Cube - Rollout
        ah_clem -- Thursday, 18 May 2017, at 8:16 p.m.