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Are you sure you're sure?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 9:26 a.m.

In Response To: Our earlier 21 play was not even a consideration for me (neilkaz)

I realize this isn't stat. sig. but it is sign. enough to make you ponder the play at hand. I'll roll it back, let you vote on it, and go from there. You can use my & Neil's rollouts to help you judge what play is best ;)

Snowie4 Professional Edition Version 4.7.1 HTML Export

GNU (Green) vs. Snowie (White)
15 point Match
Match to 15. Score Green-White: 13-12




Pip: 235
Game 1
15 point match

Green-White:
Score 13-12
Pip: 117
#PlyMoveEquity
1R15/13 10/9 1.572
10.3% 56.5% 74.1% 25.9% 2.3% 0.2%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 1.126 ±0.091.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
108 games (equiv. 1074 games),
played 3-ply (precise),
random seed, with race database.
2R17/15 10/9 1.501 (-0.071)
8.7% 55.5% 73.1% 26.9% 2.1% 0.1%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 1.082 ±0.066.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
108 games (equiv. 1625 games),
played 3-ply (precise),
random seed, with race database.
This file has been generated bySnowie Professional Edition Version 4.7.1, a product of SnowieGroup SA
Output date: 5:16:26 AM, 5/21/2008(Export v2.10)

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