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Baseball by the Book - You're the manager

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 11:17 a.m.

In Response To: Baseball by the Book - You're the manager (Stick)

"First consider the bottom of the 9th inning. Suppose the game is tied and there is a man on first. With no one out it's optimal to sacrifice bunt; with one out the batter should hit away; and with two outs it's optimal for the runner to attempt to steal. With the input probabilities we are using, there is no other situation in the bottom of the 9th in which a sacrifice bunt or attempted steal is optimal."

http://www.footballcommentary.com/bbmodel.htm

Messages In This Thread

• Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
  Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 8:55 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 12:54 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 12:58 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:39 p.m.
        • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
          Stick -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:48 p.m.
          • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
            dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 3:19 p.m.
        • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
          bob koca -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
            dc-ohio -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 11:16 p.m.
            • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
              bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 2:09 a.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        Dave -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 1:48 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 2:35 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    David Rockwell -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 3:43 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Steve Mellen -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:17 p.m.
    • Stick stated score is tied-nt
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:22 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    John Little -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 4:50 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Sunday, 18 May 2008, at 7:10 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        John Little -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 4:24 a.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 4:49 a.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        John Little -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 2:11 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Matt Reklaitis -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 5:54 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Marty Storer -- Friday, 30 May 2008, at 11:17 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Keene -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 6:32 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      Matt Reklaitis -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:01 p.m.
      • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
        Bill -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:32 p.m.
    • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
      bob koca -- Monday, 19 May 2008, at 7:25 p.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Stick -- Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 12:22 a.m.
  • Baseball by the Book - You're the manager
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 21 May 2008, at 11:17 a.m.