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Mutual Holding Game checker play #2 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 22 May 2017, at 9:53 p.m.

In Response To: Mutual Holding Game checker play #2 (Karol Szczerek)

The race seems to be the deciding factor here. We are way ahead after the roll (about 15 EPCs?), so just race with 20/16(2). Other plays keep more contact, but surrenders too much outfield control and are harder to bring home. Not what we want when leading the race.

I've played the same as Sean here: 20/18(2) 3/1(2). Knew it's worse for the race, but thought it gives me enough compensation in contact value.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 88
Unlimited Game
pip: 87
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBDBbB--A----b----bB--ed-:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout120/16(2)eq: +0,533
Player:
Opponent:
64,80% (G:7,11% B:0,11%)
35,20% (G:1,14% B:0,01%)
Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,527...+0,539) - [100,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout120/18(2) 9/7 3/1eq: +0,489 (-0,044)
Player:
Opponent:
62,64% (G:8,17% B:0,11%)
37,36% (G:1,36% B:0,01%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,482...+0,497) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 34 seconds
3.Rollout220/18(2) 3/1(2)eq: +0,467 (-0,066)
Player:
Opponent:
62,30% (G:7,46% B:0,09%)
37,70% (G:1,74% B:0,03%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,459...+0,475) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 minute 34 seconds
4.Rollout320/16 9/7 3/1eq: +0,448 (-0,085)
Player:
Opponent:
62,03% (G:12,28% B:0,19%)
37,97% (G:3,18% B:0,03%)
Conf.: ± 0,016 (+0,432...+0,464) - [0,0%]
Duration: 24,4 seconds
5.Rollout320/18 20/16 9/7eq: +0,365 (-0,168)
Player:
Opponent:
60,53% (G:9,43% B:0,16%)
39,47% (G:3,56% B:0,03%)
Conf.: ± 0,020 (+0,345...+0,385) - [0,0%]
Duration: 33,1 seconds
6.Rollout320/18 20/16 3/1eq: +0,354 (-0,178)
Player:
Opponent:
59,40% (G:11,04% B:0,35%)
40,60% (G:4,65% B:0,05%)
Conf.: ± 0,020 (+0,334...+0,375) - [0,0%]
Duration: 31,4 seconds
7.Rollout320/18 9/7 3/1(2)eq: +0,317 (-0,215)
Player:
Opponent:
58,17% (G:10,71% B:0,17%)
41,83% (G:3,79% B:0,03%)
Conf.: ± 0,020 (+0,297...+0,337) - [0,0%]
Duration: 31,1 seconds
8.Rollout320/16 3/1(2)eq: +0,236 (-0,297)
Player:
Opponent:
56,25% (G:11,24% B:0,19%)
43,75% (G:4,98% B:0,11%)
Conf.: ± 0,021 (+0,215...+0,257) - [0,0%]
Duration: 33,5 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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