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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action - bear-in vs one up
Posted By: Sean Garber In Response To: Cube action - bear-in vs one up (Michael)
Date: Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 1:46 p.m.
"(rolling 64-I am wondering what's the other roll that Sean mentioned)"
Taking a fresh look at this again today, I can't find the other direct shot number either.
"I found 16/36 that leave on the average 7/36 return shots"
I missed the 54 duplication when white left a blot on the 9. I counted these indirects as an average of 7.5 shots when they actually average exactly 6.5 shots.
Blue does hit just about 10% with his first roll. It is tough to imagine blue hitting another 14% the rest of the way. This may very well be a drop.
What I do think that I got right is that blue will win more gammons than white. If blue hits, blue is too good and plays on.
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