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Cube action - bear-in vs one up - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 9:12 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action - bear-in vs one up (Karol Szczerek)

A very important factor here is almost no recube vig (completely overlooked it OTB). If we hit, we loose the market right away. A winning chances breakdown like this would result in ca. 0.9 take in a position with typical recube vig. Here, it's a pass.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 62
Unlimited Game
pip: 103
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBBB---------bbBb--bcdA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72,54% (G:12,89% B:0,02%) 72,70% (G:12,86% B:0,01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27,46% (G:2,85% B:0,06%) 27,30% (G:2,81% B:0,07%)
Cubeless Equities +0,551 +1,108
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,796 (-0,204)±0,003 (+0,792..+0,799)
Double/Take:+1,043 (+0,043)±0,007 (+1,035..+1,050)
Double/Pass:+1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 2 minutes 20 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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