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football by the book

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Thursday, 22 May 2008, at 2:15 a.m.

In Response To: football by the book (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Still better with 39% success rate: .39 + (.61)(.39)(.5) = .5085

Still assuming 100% single point success the breakeven point is found by solving p + (1/2)(p)(1-p) = 1/2 which gives p approximately .381966

Bob Koca

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