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GNU rollout so far

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 22 May 2008, at 1:34 p.m.

In Response To: OLM - Rewind (Stick)

Showing just what I thought. 17/15 gets us a free shot at letting Stick roll a horrid disgusting ("OMFG Why didn't I stick to Poker") 33. We can still cover the 10 pt in this variation and don't allow Stick to increase the volatility of what happens via some escaping double hit.

Rollout is very slow since this is a LONG game and since this (IMHO clearly correct) 21 play didn't make it thru GNU's default filters, 8 moves, I increased it to 12.

What about GNU vs Snowie 4 here ? Well GNU is showing Stick's side can win quite a few games, and maybe more than Stick's shorty S4 rollout showed. I am of the opinion that checker play at score is more important here than whether S4 can play it better from both sides etc.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 1 (match to 3 points)

Move number 4: user to play 12


 '1X1X2X ' ' '1O '1O ' '

2X2O1X6X2O2O2O2O1O2O '2X

Pip counts: gnubg 235, user 117
Position ID: agAD/DLGtjVIAA Match ID: cIloAAAACAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 17/15 10/9 +1.2520
0.71430.58710.2539-0.28570.03900.0014 +1.4048 +1.2520
0.01370.01650.0217-0.01370.00590.0009 0.0586 0.0710
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
238 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 824107200 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 15/13 10/9 +1.0907 ( -0.1613)
0.68430.56570.2647-0.31570.03650.0023 +1.3188 +1.0907
0.01410.01890.0234-0.01410.00500.0008 0.0649 0.0805
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
238 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 824107200 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 10/9 10/8 +1.0789 ( -0.1731)
0.68590.56090.2844-0.31410.03860.0081 +1.3191 +1.0789
0.01320.01830.0217-0.01320.00680.0049 0.0608 0.0773
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
239 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 824107200 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 2 17/14 +1.6167 ( +0.3647)
0.8260 0.6462 0.1248 - 0.1740 0.0130 0.0003
5 2 17/16 15/13 +1.5951 ( +0.3431)
0.8228 0.6394 0.1251 - 0.1772 0.0142 0.0003

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