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OLM Thurs. May 22nd

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 22 May 2008, at 3:52 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. May 22nd (Stick)

A few questions and attempts to answer here.

1) Do we want Stick to be able to move a 2 up to make the 22 pt, giving up the 24 ? (answer) I have my doubts that we'd prefer him to own our 22 as we'll be dumping checkers behind the two blocks bearing in, but it's close since keeping our ace pt is SO long term. Thus I'm unsure. However, by playing 24/22 he gives us options to play 2/1x ! and hope to be hit so that we can use another man or two for our prime. (Thus I's REALLY unsure)

2) Do we want Stick to somehow make the 1,3,4 backgame ? (answer) OMFG no unless he's crashes and kills a couple checkers.

3) How likely is Stick to crash badly from here ? (answer) Well his hb is a mess now anyhow but certainly most repairable. He's carefully kept remaking his mid pt as a resevoir of timing. With our 2 pt made we can't hold the 6 prime for long even if we make it. Stick may crash a bit but really isn't likely to kill any of his few forward checkers.

4) How good is a 4-1 backgame with an undeveloped and shattered hb that is no way near containing an early hit ? (answer) likely better than may players think, but certainly not a good position whatsoever and noting we will often just run around and continue our bearoff after an early hit.

So...since I doubt we can seriously damage his his timing by forcing checkers to be killed, and since I think with so many checkers aimed at our 3 pt, we are so likely to make it in the melee that may follow.

bar/19x 8/3x !! trying to put him into a 4-1 game where he is no where near ready to contain any early shot and we can just bear in and off.

If he hits back after 19x 8x there's some slight chance he may end up with a 1,3,4 game but that can happen if we don't hit, since we later may be forced to return hit somewhere (likely in his hb) If this attack on the 3 pt fails, all is certainly not lost and we keep playing and still make even prime his game for a bit.

Plan B...bang, bash, batter, bully and blitz Bar/19x, 8/3x for me

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