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BGonline.org Forums
SHOTS GALORE
Posted By: Jack Mack In Response To: SHOTS GALORE (Nack Ballard)
Date: Sunday, 30 July 2017, at 11:56 p.m.
(a) The 3s (and to a partial extent 4s) that cover the slotted 4pt are diversified with 6s and 5s that will escape (or hit while escaping) next roll. With 3/2, there's a better chance of doing both (cover and run/hit)
This is rewording of what I said on Saturday, 29 July 2017, at 8:06 a.m. (25 hours before your post)
http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=201797
(b) A 5-4-2 board (when you cover the 4pt after 3/2) will be stronger than a 5-3-2 board (when you cover the 2pt after 4/3). Granted, you are more willing to cover the 4pt than the 2pt, but hitting variations will tend to compel you to cover whichever point is slotted, if you can.
This is also rewording of what I said in the above post and the prior one on Friday, 28 July 2017, at 12:22 a.m. (45 hours before your post)
http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=201797
That said, I believe today's rollouts exaggerate the margins.
Kind of like what I always say: "For a good enough human player, rollouts are a waste of time". Especially when they don't agree with you and you can't trust them... ;)
Overall, if I had to guess how the bots will roll this out decades from now, 3/2 will be (say) .01 to .015 over 4/3, and 3/2 (say) .03 to .035 over 7/6.
So, as a human you are already where the bots will be in decades? Then, you should have no problem agreeing with me that a "real world class player" (like you :) can rule the bots, if they tried??
I'm glad you reworded and expanded my comments for the benefit of all, as apparently, one needs to be an ordained priest to preach to the flock...
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