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Chicago Open -- A No Brainer? (but I caught a lot of flak) -- OTB

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 27 May 2008, at 4:49 p.m.

In Response To: Chicago Open -- A No Brainer? (but I caught a lot of flak) -- OTB (John O'Hagan)

I think I got the match calcs wrong when I wrote that the oppt needs 36% cubeless to take. It's actually around 40-41%, I think. Arrived at as follows: If the oppt takes and always redoubles regardless of your next shake, his takepoint is around 43%. Since this is not at all the right strategy, the true takepoint is probably around 2-3% less than 43%. Can oppt win this often? I don't think so. D/close pass looks right now.

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