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Easy math here.

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 27 May 2008, at 7:41 p.m.

In Response To: Surprise Me (Bill Riles)

Lets assume that your opp redoubles instantly for match.

You are risking ~57% to gain 19-20% if you win. Do you think you win this position almost 3/4 of the time ? HELL NO and that doesn't take into account that the opp may gain a smidge by waiting to recube if you roll big dubs now.

UR opp must be a plummer cuz he sure was jerking ur chain. If he think's he's so much better than you that he can play from 8-3 but can't risk the match here, I suggest a huge dose or reality tonic for him as no one is close to that good, IMHO.

... neilkaz hoping I'm good enuf to pull the "OMG I'd have dropped instantly act" when it may plant seeds of doubt into my opp who then makes more errors later.

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