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Why must I hit?

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Saturday, 2 September 2017, at 5:35 p.m.

Pardon my not following the usual etiquette of posting a position without analysis. I figured this must be so clear to you that I did not even want to bother you with having to come back to check the results of the analysis.

Please explain why simply covering the two blots on the home board and sitting back in wait is such a bad idea.

Thanks.





White is elisa4461

score: 4
pip: 123
7 point match
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is leobueno
XGID=--A-AAD-Cb--bB---bbda-bAB-:0:0:1:64:0:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

1.xgXG Roller++24/20* 8/2eq: -0.483
Player:
Opponent:
33.19% (G:9.18% B:0.27%)
66.81% (G:27.08% B:2.94%)
2.XG Roller++24/20* 20/14eq: -0.729 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:
29.38% (G:6.27% B:0.25%)
70.62% (G:36.74% B:5.56%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/4 8/2eq: -0.777 (-0.294)
Player:
Opponent:
24.55% (G:5.83% B:0.15%)
75.45% (G:24.71% B:2.17%)
4.XG Roller++24/20* 13/7eq: -0.892 (-0.409)
Player:
Opponent:
27.09% (G:4.98% B:0.20%)
72.91% (G:42.94% B:9.50%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -1.000 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:
21.75% (G:3.95% B:0.16%)
78.25% (G:29.89% B:3.51%)
6.XG Roller++8/2 5/1eq: -1.000 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:
19.35% (G:3.68% B:0.09%)
80.65% (G:26.57% B:2.26%)
7.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -1.000 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:
19.06% (G:3.62% B:0.09%)
80.94% (G:27.05% B:2.37%)
8.XG Roller++13/7 6/2eq: -1.000 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:
20.46% (G:3.63% B:0.14%)
79.54% (G:30.48% B:3.55%)
9.XG Roller++13/3eq: -1.055 (-0.572)
Player:
Opponent:
19.40% (G:2.89% B:0.14%)
80.60% (G:36.61% B:5.67%)
10.XG Roller++13/7 5/1eq: -1.104 (-0.621)
Player:
Opponent:
17.14% (G:2.46% B:0.09%)
82.86% (G:36.09% B:5.03%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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