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Rollout (original position)

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 7:07 a.m.

In Response To: Three plays, what is right? (Ian Dunstan)

Making the 8pt looked too placid to me at the time, so I tossed up between the loose hit and the stacked safe play. Thank you for the feedback.





White is Opponent

score: 8
pip: 135
29 point match
pip: 141
score: 11

Blue is Reader
XGID=---aBDBb-b-B-C----bcB-cb--:0:0:1:53:11:8:0:29:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout113/8 11/8eq: +0.342
Player:
Opponent:
57.39% (G:21.32% B:0.85%)
42.61% (G:10.24% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.323...+0.360) - [99.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: +0.309 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
57.05% (G:18.53% B:0.67%)
42.95% (G:9.57% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.291...+0.326) - [0.6%]
Duration: 11 minutes 33 seconds
3.Rollout111/3* eq: +0.303 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
57.01% (G:21.50% B:0.81%)
42.99% (G:12.58% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.022 (+0.281...+0.325) - [0.4%]
Duration: 9 minutes 21 seconds
4.XG Roller++11/8 11/6eq: +0.235 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:
55.02% (G:18.18% B:0.52%)
44.98% (G:9.51% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 5/2eq: +0.225 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:
55.12% (G:18.45% B:0.54%)
44.88% (G:11.07% B:0.33%)
6.XG Roller++11/6 5/2eq: +0.179 (-0.163)
Player:
Opponent:
53.89% (G:18.29% B:0.60%)
46.11% (G:10.80% B:0.34%)
7.XG Roller++20/17 20/15eq: +0.137 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:
54.99% (G:14.12% B:0.59%)
45.01% (G:13.79% B:0.31%)
8.XG Roller++20/17 13/8eq: 0.000 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:
51.96% (G:17.90% B:0.81%)
48.04% (G:20.17% B:0.87%)
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 95897281
First 6 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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