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PR and luck in live matches

Posted By: Michael
Date: Thursday, 21 September 2017, at 7:17 a.m.

In Response To: PR and luck in live matches (Jeom)

May I also suggest that you change your program for the predicted values to maximum -20 PR instead of -25. The ELO scale for XG ranges from 1500 to 2240 for PR 20 to 0 respectively. This 1500 ELO coincides with the Fibs rating of 1500. -25 means a player who hardly knows how to move the checkers, he can't possibly win Vs the bot ~10% of the times at an 11pt match. At -20 though (according to FIBs formula) he can win 10.9%. Google search & download "FIBs rating calculator" it will help get an idea of expected winning chances.

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