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[BG Problem] Race GWC?

Posted By: Michael
Date: Friday, 6 October 2017, at 10:50 a.m.

In Response To: [BG Problem] Race GWC? (Karol Szczerek)

I follow a simple method that I can use otb. I give each player the same average roll for a few times until things get clarified as Rolls Vs rolls. In this case I gave them 61,62,53,54. I found that when things get clarified X had born off 6 checkers and O 1 checker. So this becomes a 5 or 6 Roll Game Vs 7 with X on Roll.

5 Vs 7 is almost 99% GWC which I don't think is right for this position Let's take the more pedestrian scenario of 6 Vs 7: That's about 90%. Done. A redouble Pass for sure.

Here's my table of pure rolls vs rolls. One Roll ahead and it's always >=90%

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B7L6em2ChhMOVWNRUmFBejNxTnc

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