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[BG Problem] Race GWC?

Posted By: Michael
Date: Friday, 6 October 2017, at 9:15 p.m.

In Response To: [BG Problem] Race GWC? (Bob Koca)

"Since the underdog needs to get better rolls that technique will significantly underrate the win chance of the underdog. "

I know it has a weakness in using average rolls (I think I only used 3 in this case). To be more accurate I could go back and say that from current position it's actually 8-9 Rolls Vs 10 in which case I would end up to 85-87% GWC. Another weakness is the chart of "pure" rolls at bear off (meaning each roll bears off either 2 or 4 checkers). Some correction needed for that too.

The merit is it's speed. You can get a draft estimate in seconds. You don't even need to count pips.

Obviously Karol's position AtS needs a much higher accuracy and much more time. Anyone measured the time he needed to do the counts?

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