[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 27 October 2017, at 10:15 p.m.

In Response To: 3 pt match very ugly position (neilkaz)

OTB I overestimated my chances by a few % in this unusual position. I have 21 shots and can expect more chances to hit checkers and my entering 6's can make the opp's bar pt giving me contact out their in their naked outfield.

So I cubed, in part due to this being a 3 pt match so I should cube earlier and also because it looks like it could be difficult for my opp, a decent player who runs about 175 Elo less than me at Gammonsite, to play unless he rolls jokers.

Fortunately, he commented about how ugly his position was and passed.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
3 point match
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BcD-BB-Bd-----Aga---AA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:3:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.712% (G:17.046% B:1.178%) 63.831% (G:17.307% B:1.416%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.288% (G:8.097% B:0.433%) 36.169% (G:8.059% B:0.551%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4290 +0.9291
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6570±0.0076 (+0.6495..+0.6646)
Double/Take:+0.5911 (-0.0660)±0.0091 (+0.5819..+0.6002)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3430)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.9%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8947583
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Huge
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 37 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.