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Break the 5-point or the midpoint? -- VARIANT ROLLOUT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 28 October 2017, at 3:07 p.m.

In Response To: Break the 5-point or the midpoint? -- VARIANT (Nack Ballard)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 98
7 point match
pip: 129
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABB-CBa----bB--ab-bBbabbA:0:0:1:53:2:0:0:7:10

Score is –5–7


1.Rollout1Bar/22* 20/15eq: +0.157
Player:
Opponent:
55.33% (G:33.82% B:2.22%)
44.67% (G:24.84% B:1.87%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.152...+0.161) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 00 second
2.Rollout1Bar/22* 13/8eq: +0.136 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
54.63% (G:34.50% B:1.96%)
45.37% (G:22.71% B:1.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.131...+0.141) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 04 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94307656
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

This position was a much tougher choice than the original position posted. I guess that's why nobody responded? :)

AtS, it is still right to break anchor with the 5 (as the rollout above shows), despite White's strong board.

The rollout for money below, though, suggests a dead heat!

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 98
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABB-CBa----bB--ab-bBbabbA:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10

Money


1.Rollout1Bar/22* 13/8eq: +0.094
Player:
Opponent:
54.70% (G:34.88% B:1.76%)
45.30% (G:23.13% B:1.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.091...+0.098) - [55.4%]
Duration: 20 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22* 20/15eq: +0.094 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
55.58% (G:34.88% B:2.11%)
44.42% (G:25.43% B:1.91%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.091...+0.097) - [44.6%]
Duration: 19 minutes 14 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 6286528
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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