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Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 2 November 2017, at 2:17 p.m.

In Response To: Match recube action? (John O'Hagan)

Everyone nailed this problem. It's R/T vs. an even opponent and an even bigger R for me vs. XGR+. We have close to a 3 roll position (since D1 isn't gin) but White's D2 is slightly worse than in a pure 3 roll and D1 is a lot worse.




White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 13
11 point match
pip: 8
score: 7

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DB---------------a----c--:1:1:1:00:7:4:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 82.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 82.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 17.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 17.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.644 +1.423
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.810 (-0.037)±0.000 (+0.810..+0.810)
Redouble/Take:+0.847±0.000 (+0.847..+0.847)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.153)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 0.4 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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