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My rollout of the same position

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 4 November 2017, at 4:36 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Neil Robins)

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 127 Unlimited Game pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B--DbBA---D--acde----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10 Neil's rollout

1. Rollout1 8/4 6/4 eq: -0.603 Player: Opponent: 33.82% (G:8.10% B:0.28%) 66.18% (G:17.03% B:1.22%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.611...-0.594) - [100.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 48 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/11 9/5 eq: -0.625 (-0.022) Player: Opponent: 33.44% (G:8.06% B:0.29%) 66.56% (G:17.10% B:1.15%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.634...-0.616) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 56 seconds 3. Rollout1 9/5 6/4 eq: -0.625 (-0.022) Player: Opponent: 33.20% (G:8.15% B:0.29%) 66.80% (G:16.51% B:1.01%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.634...-0.616) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 33 seconds 4. Rollout1 13/9 6/4 eq: -0.634 (-0.032) Player: Opponent: 33.23% (G:7.74% B:0.27%) 66.77% (G:16.93% B:1.00%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.643...-0.625) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 51 seconds 5. Rollout1 24/22 13/9 eq: -0.670 (-0.068) Player: Opponent: 34.51% (G:6.84% B:0.27%) 65.49% (G:21.18% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.678...-0.662) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 04 seconds 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: XG Roller+, cube decisions: 2-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Neil Robin's rollout of his original position appears above.

I did my own rollout (below), and ended up with some different rankings and margins. I don't know if this is due to variance, or has something to do with Neil's enhancement of the first two rollout moves of all five candidates.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 127 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B--DbBA---D--acde----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Nack's rollout

1.	Rollout1	8/4 6/4	eq: -0.643
	Player: Opponent: 33.83% (G:8.00% B:0.26%) 66.17% (G:16.68% B:1.08%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.650...-0.637) - [96.8%] Duration: 26 minutes 17 seconds
2.	Rollout1	9/5 6/4	eq: -0.652 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 33.47% (G:8.31% B:0.27%) 66.53% (G:16.57% B:1.02%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.659...-0.646) - [3.1%] Duration: 24 minutes 54 seconds
3.	Rollout1	24/22 13/9	eq: -0.658 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 34.58% (G:6.82% B:0.26%) 65.42% (G:20.24% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.664...-0.651) - [0.1%] Duration: 30 minutes 57 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/9 6/4	eq: -0.660 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 33.42% (G:7.69% B:0.27%) 66.58% (G:16.79% B:0.94%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.667...-0.653) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 49 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/11 9/5	eq: -0.662 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 33.54% (G:7.96% B:0.26%) 66.46% (G:16.88% B:1.02%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.669...-0.654) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 30 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 94307656 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Play this 42 How?
  Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 1 November 2017, at 1:41 p.m.
  • Play this 42 How?
    bluedice -- Wednesday, 1 November 2017, at 3:11 p.m.
    • Play this 42 How?
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 1 November 2017, at 3:18 p.m.
  • Play this 42 How?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 1 November 2017, at 8:38 p.m.
  • Play this 42 How?
    scotty -- Wednesday, 1 November 2017, at 10:55 p.m.
  • Play this 42 How?
    higonefive -- Thursday, 2 November 2017, at 5:32 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Neil Robins -- Friday, 3 November 2017, at 9:56 p.m.
    • Rollout and VARIANTS
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 4 November 2017, at 4:25 p.m.
      • Sheer magic, Mr. Ballard.
        higonefive -- Sunday, 5 November 2017, at 11:13 a.m.
    • My rollout of the same position
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 4 November 2017, at 4:36 p.m.