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Match contact.

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 5 November 2017, at 3:11 a.m.

In Response To: Match contact. (Karol Szczerek)

Normally I'd play the KISS 19/8 so what makes this position different from normally if anything? First, there's the score. The score combined with the cube being on 4 already makes the opp's gammon value much less than normal. There is obvious overage and being ahead by so much winning a single anyway means a decreased gammon value.

Second, there's the score. While for money when the opponent leaves a double shot with his [62 61 52 51] we'll also double because it's a last roll situation and we're a favorite so we cube, in match play it will become a cube of monstrous proportions given the score. (if we make the dmp play of 18/7) Hell, maybe we should cube AtS after the opponent's [64]!?

In summation, OtB I'm likely to keep it simple and play the regular 19/8 but since it's posted on the forums 18/7 has to be correct. One could also make an argument if you're the stronger player even if 18/7 is right according to XG depending on the margin of correctness, it is still right for the stronger human to play 19/8. End rambling.

Stick

Messages In This Thread

• Match contact.
  Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 3 November 2017, at 8:39 p.m.
  • Match contact.
    Stick -- Sunday, 5 November 2017, at 3:11 a.m.
    • Match contact. RO.
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 5 November 2017, at 10:02 a.m.
      • Match contact -- Rollout and VARIANTS
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 5 November 2017, at 1:14 p.m.