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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 29 January 2007, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: Prime Time Cube? Mary v. Stick (Stick)

Obvious double, obvious pass. I posted it only because during play I took. After rolling my double 5s from the bar and promptly doubling Mary out she said she couldn't believe I took this. There was no discussion, I didn't think it was a take either =) I took a picture to see how big of a pass it was and posted it to give Mary a chance to bitch if she wanted.

Money Game
Blue(Mary) on roll. Cube Action?

141
71
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout	Money equity:	0.727
	0.1% 40.9% 67.5% 32.5% 3.1% 0.1%
	95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.727 ±0.022, - live cube no redouble: 0.863 ±0.030, - live cube redouble take: 1.201 ±0.050. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 14605 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1.	Redouble, pass	1.000
2.	No redouble	0.920	(-0.080)
3.	Redouble, take	1.221	(+0.221)
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass
Live cube
1.	Redouble, pass	1.000
2.	No redouble	0.863	(-0.137)
3.	Redouble, take	1.201	(+0.201)
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass

Messages In This Thread

• Prime Time Cube? Mary v. Stick
  Stick -- Sunday, 28 January 2007, at 5:28 p.m.
  • Re: Prime Time Cube? Mary v. Stick
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 28 January 2007, at 8:33 p.m.
    • Re: Re: Prime Time Cube? Mary v. Stick
      lucky player -- Sunday, 28 January 2007, at 9:10 p.m.
  • Re: Prime Time Cube? Mary v. Stick
    Ian Shaw -- Monday, 29 January 2007, at 5:43 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 29 January 2007, at 5:59 p.m.