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12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 5:00 p.m.

In Response To: 6-1 to play (Barry Murphy)

There is no way 12-5 could be that huge of an error. Was the -.037 a typo or what did you do to have XG tell you that? I am getting it as about +.3557 equity.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 60 5 point match pip: 93 score: 2 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-BCBC-----A---AA--d-cbb-:1:-1:1:61:2:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	17/11 16/15	eq: +0.3933
	Player: Opponent: 76.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 23.56% (G:1.83% B:0.07%) Conf.: ±0.0047 (+0.3887...+0.3980) - [96.0%] Duration: 23.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	16/10 12/11	eq: +0.3875 (-0.0058)
	Player: Opponent: 76.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 23.41% (G:1.76% B:0.09%) Conf.: ±0.0044 (+0.3831...+0.3920) - [3.9%] Duration: 18.2 seconds
3.	Rollout1	17/11 6/5	eq: +0.3830 (-0.0103)
	Player: Opponent: 76.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 23.87% (G:1.62% B:0.07%) Conf.: ±0.0045 (+0.3785...+0.3875) - [0.1%] Duration: 20.0 seconds
4.	Rollout1	17/10	eq: +0.3751 (-0.0182)
	Player: Opponent: 75.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 24.15% (G:1.84% B:0.07%) Conf.: ±0.0046 (+0.3705...+0.3797) - [0.0%] Duration: 15.0 seconds
5.	Rollout1	16/10 4/3	eq: +0.3742 (-0.0191)
	Player: Opponent: 76.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 23.93% (G:1.94% B:0.04%) Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.3699...+0.3785) - [0.0%] Duration: 19.1 seconds
6.	Rollout1	12/5	eq: +0.3557 (-0.0376)
	Player: Opponent: 75.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 24.40% (G:1.65% B:0.08%) Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.3514...+0.3601) - [0.0%] Duration: 8.6 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 29265958 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 6-1 to play
  Barry Murphy -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 3:50 p.m.
  • 6-1 to play
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 6:26 p.m.
    • 6-1 to play
      Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 7:17 p.m.
      • 6-1 to play
        Barry Murphy -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 11:24 p.m.
        • 6-1 to play
          Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 24 December 2017, at 7:52 a.m.
      • 6-1 to play concept 'outfield control'
        higonefive -- Monday, 25 December 2017, at 11:33 p.m.
    • 6-1 to play
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 24 December 2017, at 1:31 a.m.
  • 6-1 to play
    Neil Robins -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 6:47 p.m.
  • 6-1 to play
    Michael -- Saturday, 23 December 2017, at 7:16 p.m.
  • 6-1 to play
    Stick -- Sunday, 24 December 2017, at 2:54 a.m.
  • 6-1 to play
    Barry Murphy -- Sunday, 24 December 2017, at 3:02 p.m.
    • 6-1 to play
      Stick -- Sunday, 24 December 2017, at 3:27 p.m.
      • 6-1 to play
        Barry Murphy -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 10:40 p.m.
        • ...and my explanation is...
          Barry Murphy -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 10:44 p.m.
    • 12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 5:00 p.m.
      • 12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper
        Stick -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 5:35 p.m.
        • 12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 6:10 p.m.
        • 12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 26 December 2017, at 6:11 p.m.
      • "12/5 is regular sized error and not double whopper." 'Pure strategy', second example, with words AND numbers.
        higonefive -- Friday, 29 December 2017, at 12:23 p.m.