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More ducks

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 1 January 2018, at 8:15 p.m.

In Response To: More ducks (Stick)

Double switch, switch 7 to 3 or do something with the ugly stack.

Double switch overkills our eq if White dances with 9 numbers. 7-to-3 switch also does that, on 16 dances. If White enters though, we probably don't even have a double and we have to deal with the inflexibility of midpoint stack during bear-in.

Out of the stack-developing plays, I'd reject all non-hitting ones as too passive, given White's non-killer board with 3 blots lying around. This leaves 13/11(2) with 6/4*(2) (5/3*(2) looks like much worse combination of points and 7/3* - an unecessary risk). This play gives a strong double after 9 dances (not sure if it's a take or not, but if it is, it's probably not a big one, so our eq is close to 1 anyway) but more importantly leaves us with a flexible position on all other rolls.

I think the double switch is often either correct or wrong by only a small margin in this type of positions so it feels like the most practical choice.

I'd stick with the 13/11(2) 6/4*(2) though, as it feels like the most flexible play here, that doesn't spill equity.

Messages In This Thread

• More ducks
  Stick -- Monday, 1 January 2018, at 2:13 p.m.
  • More ducks
    Mick Z -- Monday, 1 January 2018, at 2:30 p.m.
    • More ducks
      christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 1 January 2018, at 3:36 p.m.
  • More ducks
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 1 January 2018, at 8:15 p.m.
  • More ducks
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 2 January 2018, at 3:40 p.m.
  • More ducks - Rollout
    Stick -- Sunday, 7 January 2018, at 11:31 a.m.