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Interesting recube @ -3-8

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 4 January 2018, at 3:19 p.m.

In Response To: Interesting recube @ -3-8 (Carlo Melzi)

If white passes it's 8aC and she'll have about 6% MWC; if white takes she recubes for the match so her takepoint is about 6%.

Blue blots with 61 62 51 52 41 and 42. That's 12 shot leaving rolls and O hits about a third of the time, for about a 1 in 9 chance of hitting a shot. White doesn't win all of those but should win enough to make it a take.

Meanwhile, blue wins something over 90% to get to Crawford and has some gammons to end the match. When he is hit he gets to play to the end with the cube on his side, probably ekeing out another couple of percent wins. I wouldn't touch the cube as Blue. A cube seems like a gift to white.

ND/T

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