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BGonline.org Forums
Would you could you in a car?
Posted By: Karol Szczerek In Response To: Would you could you in a car? (Stick)
Date: Monday, 22 January 2018, at 6:14 p.m.
Whether we cube or not, White will have a cash if we dance (16 rolls).
If we enter with a non-hitting ace (5 rolls), I suppose White has a cash, too (not sure right now if it isn't a very thin take, but it can't be sizeable, so I'd just suppose it's a pass).
On other 15 rolls we loose the market by a mile. I guess we win 95% or more, so about 14,5 of those, with gammons close to 50% of wins, so about 7 of those.
What's the eq for no double?
21 loosing rolls and 15 winning (we cash after a hit due to Jacoby), which is -6/36 or -.167.
What's the eq for a double?
21 loosing rolls, but 14,5 + 7 (I count the gammons second time) winning, so slightly over 0.
The gain is obvious. Big double due to Jacoby. Probably not a beaver.
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