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Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Friday, 2 February 2018, at 10:58 p.m.

In Response To: Uncomfortable 43 (Karol Szczerek)

I also played 6/3 for the same reasons but apparently White's attack is too strong. Correct is a safer 4/1! That way White doesn't have a direct way to pick up our second blot after a succesful attack so she wins far less gammons.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 109 Unlimited Game pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBABbBBC--a------bcc-b-bA:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21 4/1	eq: -0,661
	Player: Opponent: 31,52% (G:9,09% B:0,29%) 68,48% (G:14,11% B:0,28%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,672...-0,650) - [100,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21 6/3	eq: -0,728 (-0,067)
	Player: Opponent: 35,11% (G:9,61% B:0,26%) 64,89% (G:25,11% B:0,38%) Conf.: ± 0,010 (-0,738...-0,717) - [0,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/21 7/4	eq: -0,757 (-0,096)
	Player: Opponent: 33,65% (G:9,95% B:0,25%) 66,35% (G:23,43% B:0,56%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,767...-0,746) - [0,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

If we move Whit'e spare from her 6pt to 7pt so she has only 1s and 3s to attack (instead of 1s, 2s and 3s as in the OP), 6/3 becomes correct.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 110 Unlimited Game pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBABbBBC--a------cbc-b-bA:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21 6/3	eq: -0,350
	Player: Opponent: 41,20% (G:9,37% B:0,22%) 58,80% (G:18,46% B:0,33%) Conf.: ± 0,008 (-0,359...-0,342) - [100,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21 4/1	eq: -0,386 (-0,035)
	Player: Opponent: 38,44% (G:10,09% B:0,25%) 61,56% (G:11,83% B:0,26%) Conf.: ± 0,007 (-0,393...-0,379) - [0,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 32 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/21 7/4	eq: -0,696 (-0,346)
	Player: Opponent: 34,75% (G:10,20% B:0,25%) 65,25% (G:22,79% B:0,59%) Conf.: ± 0,010 (-0,706...-0,686) - [0,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 56 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Uncomfortable 43
  Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 9:08 p.m.
  • Uncomfortable 43
    Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 10:22 p.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43
      neilkaz -- Friday, 2 February 2018, at 3:53 a.m.
  • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT
    Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 2 February 2018, at 10:58 p.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT
      Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 3 February 2018, at 6:40 a.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT and VARIANTS
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 February 2018, at 6:32 a.m.