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Double aces from the bar - ROLLOUT and VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 5 February 2018, at 6:15 a.m.

In Response To: Double aces from the bar - ROLLOUT (Karol Szczerek)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 196 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaaBbD-C-B-cC--ab-ca----A:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 4/3* 3/2* 2/1*	eq: +0,502
	Player: Opponent: 57,66% (G:30,40% B:1,62%) 42,34% (G:9,43% B:0,41%) Conf.: ± 0,016 (+0,486...+0,518) - [100,0%] Duration: 50 minutes 28 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 4/3*(2)	eq: +0,442 (-0,060)
	Player: Opponent: 56,03% (G:27,98% B:1,90%) 43,97% (G:8,50% B:0,36%) Conf.: ± 0,019 (+0,423...+0,461) - [0,0%] Duration: 51 minutes 59 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/24 8/7(3)	eq: +0,424 (-0,077)
	Player: Opponent: 56,91% (G:25,08% B:1,03%) 43,09% (G:8,40% B:0,36%) Conf.: ± 0,019 (+0,405...+0,444) - [0,0%] Duration: 28 minutes 09 seconds
4.	Rollout2	Bar/23 10/9(2)	eq: +0,395 (-0,107)
	Player: Opponent: 56,20% (G:24,70% B:1,18%) 43,80% (G:8,43% B:0,31%) Conf.: ± 0,020 (+0,375...+0,415) - [0,0%] Duration: 27 minutes 21 seconds
5.	Rollout2	Bar/21	eq: +0,389 (-0,113)
	Player: Opponent: 56,23% (G:24,61% B:1,31%) 43,77% (G:8,74% B:0,37%) Conf.: ± 0,020 (+0,369...+0,409) - [0,0%] Duration: 30 minutes 45 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Karol's rollout of John's original position. Hitting three checkers is a blowout.

Below is a cusp variant, with Z (1:3 reverse split doublets) going from a blunder to a tie, E (Each, bar/23 4/3*(2)) going from blunder to very close, and the two other plays (b and U) going from whopper to close.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 193 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaaBbD-C-B-cC---b-da----A:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant (White's 9pt checker is on 6pt)

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 8/7(3)	eq: +0.508
	Player: Opponent: 59.33% (G:24.07% B:0.97%) 40.67% (G:7.66% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.499...+0.518) - [54.7%] Duration: 56 minutes 39 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 4/3* 3/2* 2/1*	eq: +0.507 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 58.40% (G:27.97% B:1.12%) 41.60% (G:9.10% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.497...+0.517) - [43.1%] Duration: 55 minutes 53 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/23 4/3*(2)	eq: +0.497 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 57.95% (G:27.31% B:1.65%) 42.05% (G:8.31% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.487...+0.508) - [2.1%] Duration: 56 minutes 47 seconds
4.	Rollout1	Bar/21	eq: +0.482 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 58.91% (G:23.28% B:1.10%) 41.09% (G:8.05% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.473...+0.492) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
5.	Rollout1	Bar/23 10/9(2)	eq: +0.479 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 58.81% (G:23.51% B:0.98%) 41.19% (G:7.86% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.470...+0.489) - [0.0%] Duration: 59 minutes 29 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 83969583 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Double aces from the bar
  John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 30 January 2018, at 9:44 p.m.
  • Double aces from the bar
    Stick -- Tuesday, 30 January 2018, at 10:00 p.m.
    • Double aces from the bar
      Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 30 January 2018, at 10:42 p.m.
  • Double aces from the bar
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 31 January 2018, at 3:17 p.m.
  • Double aces from the bar
    Joseph Pregler -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 4:49 p.m.
  • Double aces from the bar - ROLLOUT
    Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 9:05 p.m.
    • Double aces from the bar - ROLLOUT and VARIANT
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 February 2018, at 6:15 a.m.