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Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT and VARIANTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 5 February 2018, at 6:32 a.m.

In Response To: Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT (Karol Szczerek)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 109 Unlimited Game pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBABbBBC--a------bcc-b-bA:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21 4/1	eq: -0,661
	Player: Opponent: 31,52% (G:9,09% B:0,29%) 68,48% (G:14,11% B:0,28%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,672...-0,650) - [100,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21 6/3	eq: -0,728 (-0,067)
	Player: Opponent: 35,11% (G:9,61% B:0,26%) 64,89% (G:25,11% B:0,38%) Conf.: ± 0,010 (-0,738...-0,717) - [0,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/21 7/4	eq: -0,757 (-0,096)
	Player: Opponent: 33,65% (G:9,95% B:0,25%) 66,35% (G:23,43% B:0,56%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,767...-0,746) - [0,0%] Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Karol's rollout of his original position.
Breaking the 4pt (bar/21 4/1) is correct.

In Karol's variant (not shown), White's 6pt spare was instead on her 7pt.
In that case, breaking the 6pt (bar/21 6/3) was correct.

In my variant below, White's 5pt spare is moved to her 6pt.
In this case, breaking the 7pt (bar/21 7/4) is correct.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 110 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBABbBBC--a------bdb-b-bA:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21 7/4	eq: -0.371
	Player: Opponent: 40.11% (G:9.83% B:0.27%) 59.89% (G:18.57% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.382...-0.360) - [100.0%] Duration: 59.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21 4/1	eq: -0.416 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 37.20% (G:9.52% B:0.28%) 62.80% (G:12.12% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.422...-0.409) - [0.0%] Duration: 47.0 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/21 6/3	eq: -0.645 (-0.274)
	Player: Opponent: 36.76% (G:10.15% B:0.37%) 63.24% (G:25.39% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.655...-0.634) - [0.0%] Duration: 56.7 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 83969583 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Uncomfortable 43
  Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 9:08 p.m.
  • Uncomfortable 43
    Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 1 February 2018, at 10:22 p.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43
      neilkaz -- Friday, 2 February 2018, at 3:53 a.m.
  • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT
    Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 2 February 2018, at 10:58 p.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT/VARIANT
      Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 3 February 2018, at 6:40 a.m.
    • Uncomfortable 43 - ROLLOUT and VARIANTS
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 February 2018, at 6:32 a.m.