Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS

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Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 8:57 p.m.

In Response To: Random 41 (Karol Szczerek)

An interesting play wins the contest. It's not even close at the score.

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 130

3 point match

pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-bB---D-D-A-aB---bbcc-bAA-:0:0:1:41:0:1:0:3:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/4 eq: -0,705
Player:
Opponent: 30,05% (G:7,58% B:0,81%)
69,95% (G:27,27% B:6,33%) Conf.: ± 0,022 (-0,726...-0,683) - [100,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 47 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 10/6 eq: -0,802 (-0,098)
Player:
Opponent: 27,40% (G:7,47% B:0,86%)
72,60% (G:27,06% B:3,89%) Conf.: ± 0,028 (-0,831...-0,774) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/12* 10/6 eq: -0,875 (-0,170)
Player:
Opponent: 27,95% (G:7,87% B:1,33%)
72,05% (G:31,79% B:4,02%) Conf.: ± 0,019 (-0,894...-0,856) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/12* eq: -0,875 (-0,170)
Player:
Opponent: 28,93% (G:9,06% B:1,33%)
71,07% (G:35,93% B:7,48%) Conf.: ± 0,021 (-0,896...-0,854) - [0,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds

¹ 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

For money it's closer but still the top play holds. I had to move the cube to our side because otherwise we have to pass (per XGR++) next turn after any play.

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130

Unlimited Game

pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-bB---D-D-A-aB---bbcc-bAA-:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/4 eq: -0,479
Player:
Opponent: 29,65% (G:7,22% B:0,37%)
70,35% (G:24,83% B:1,60%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,485...-0,473) - [100,0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 10 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 10/6 eq: -0,512 (-0,033)
Player:
Opponent: 26,42% (G:6,20% B:0,24%)
73,58% (G:18,68% B:1,02%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,517...-0,506) - [0,0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 47 seconds
3. Rollout² 13/9 13/12* eq: -0,610 (-0,131)
Player:
Opponent: 29,05% (G:8,52% B:0,72%)
70,95% (G:34,58% B:4,81%) Conf.: ± 0,014 (-0,624...-0,596) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 04 seconds

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

I've also tried a variant with our 5pt made instead of the 2pt. Still, 24/23 8/4 is best.

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 130

3 point match

pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b---BD-D-A-aB---bbcc-bAA-:0:0:1:41:0:1:0:3:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/4 eq: -0,208
Player:
Opponent: 41,71% (G:11,28% B:0,80%)
58,29% (G:25,70% B:7,23%) Conf.: ± 0,017 (-0,224...-0,191) - [100,0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 09 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/12* eq: -0,316 (-0,108)
Player:
Opponent: 40,66% (G:13,13% B:2,74%)
59,34% (G:31,60% B:6,36%) Conf.: ± 0,018 (-0,334...-0,298) - [0,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds
3. Rollout² 24/23 10/6 eq: -0,377 (-0,169)
Player:
Opponent: 36,52% (G:10,17% B:0,74%)
63,48% (G:23,35% B:4,67%) Conf.: ± 0,031 (-0,408...-0,346) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 42 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130

Unlimited Game

pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b---BD-D-A-aB---bbcc-bAA-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/4 eq: -0,388
Player:
Opponent: 41,30% (G:11,00% B:0,51%)
58,70% (G:22,32% B:1,51%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,403...-0,373) - [100,0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 39 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/12* eq: -0,463 (-0,075)
Player:
Opponent: 40,66% (G:13,38% B:1,09%)
59,34% (G:29,73% B:4,19%) Conf.: ± 0,017 (-0,480...-0,446) - [0,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 23 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/12* 10/6 eq: -0,490 (-0,102)
Player:
Opponent: 39,74% (G:12,60% B:0,88%)
60,26% (G:26,17% B:2,35%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,505...-0,474) - [0,0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 55 seconds
4. Rollout² 24/23 10/6 eq: -0,560 (-0,172)
Player:
Opponent: 35,75% (G:9,49% B:0,42%)
64,25% (G:17,96% B:0,95%) Conf.: ± 0,029 (-0,588...-0,531) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

Random 41
Karol Szczerek -- Saturday, 3 February 2018, at 10:21 a.m.
- Random 41
  Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 3 February 2018, at 11:49 a.m.
  - Random 41
    Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 4 February 2018, at 1:05 p.m.
  - Random 41
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 4:21 a.m.
- Random 41
  ah_clem -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 5:33 p.m.
- Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS
  Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 8:57 p.m.
  - Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 9:28 p.m.
  - Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 5:56 a.m.
  - Random 41 - ROLLOUT and VARIANT
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 February 2018, at 10:34 a.m.

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