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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7 (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 9:28 p.m.
Any six is a market loser, assuming the market is not lost already. White rolling a deuce is really bad, so although blue has the nine market losers required by O'hagen's law he'd also need "nothing too bad" on the other sequences, so it's not an O'hagen double.
Blue wins a lot of gammons here and I think white might be relieved to get out of this with one point, so Simborg's law would say hold.
OTOH, cashing isn't such a bad thing, and getting white on the hook for 4 (or 8) isn't so bad.
And on the gripping hand, holding the cube keeps white from whipping it back at you so that inclines me to hold. If the cube were centered I'd be more inclined to ship it.
I've just talked myself into ND/P which makes no sense. Since I'm not at all sure about the take, I'll ship it, and as white I'd pass this since I don't want to lose 8.
R/P
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