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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7

Posted By: Sean Garber
Date: Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 12:51 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7 (Stick)

If Blue rolls any of the 9 cover numbers, he is in great shape. I give Blue 12 points in those 9 games. If Blue rolls 61, 62, or 64 and White hits back, even game. If not, +1 for Blue, so Blue is +4 net in those 6 games. If Blue rolls one of the 21 do nothing rolls, I'll make Blue a 12.5:8.5 favorite, giving Blue a net +21 for 36 games, or about a 79% wins adjusted for gammons. My best guess is that White will get a little less than the normal amount of recube vig here. When White wins, White will often hit and overshoot the market at some point in the game. Looks like a small pass to me. Blue is nowhere near too good.

Messages In This Thread

• Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
  Stick -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 6:37 a.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 10:15 a.m.
    • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
      TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 8:23 p.m.
      • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
        Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 9:57 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 9:28 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
    Sean Garber -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 12:51 a.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 1:04 a.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7 - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 5:59 p.m.
    • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7 - Rollout
      David Rennie -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 7:01 p.m.
      • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #7 - Rollout
        TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 8:25 p.m.