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Random 41 - ROLLOUT and VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 8 February 2018, at 10:34 a.m.

In Response To: Random 41 - ROLLOUT/VARIANTS (Karol Szczerek)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 130
3 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bB---D-D-A-aB---bbcc-bAA-:0:0:1:41:0:1:0:3:10

Original position


1.Rollout124/23 8/4eq: -0,705
Player:
Opponent:
30,05% (G:7,58% B:0,81%)
69,95% (G:27,27% B:6,33%)
Conf.: ± 0,022 (-0,726...-0,683) - [100,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 10/6eq: -0,802 (-0,098)
Player:
Opponent:
27,40% (G:7,47% B:0,86%)
72,60% (G:27,06% B:3,89%)
Conf.: ± 0,028 (-0,831...-0,774) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
3.Rollout113/12* 10/6eq: -0,875 (-0,170)
Player:
Opponent:
27,95% (G:7,87% B:1,33%)
72,05% (G:31,79% B:4,02%)
Conf.: ± 0,019 (-0,894...-0,856) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout113/9 13/12* eq: -0,875 (-0,170)
Player:
Opponent:
28,93% (G:9,06% B:1,33%)
71,07% (G:35,93% B:7,48%)
Conf.: ± 0,021 (-0,896...-0,854) - [0,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Above is Karol's rollout of his original position.
Hitting is a whopper with cheese, while the best play is anchoring with c (cross, 24/23 8/4).

In my variant below, White's 5pt spare has been backed up to her 9pt.
Now it's a tie.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 134
3 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bB---D-D-A-aB--abbcb-bAA-:0:0:1:41:0:1:0:3:10
Variant (White's 5pt spare is on her 9pt)

1.Rollout113/9 13/12* eq: -0.773
Player:
Opponent:
30.44% (G:9.12% B:1.75%)
69.56% (G:32.15% B:7.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.782...-0.765) - [67.5%]
Duration: 17 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 8/4eq: -0.776 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
28.55% (G:7.27% B:0.68%)
71.45% (G:26.68% B:6.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.783...-0.768) - [32.5%]
Duration: 17 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout113/12* 10/6eq: -0.795 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
29.54% (G:8.47% B:1.29%)
70.46% (G:28.92% B:3.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.802...-0.787) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 18 seconds
4.Rollout113/12* 12/8eq: -0.810 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
29.24% (G:8.51% B:1.55%)
70.76% (G:29.82% B:4.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.818...-0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 07 seconds
5.Rollout124/23 10/6eq: -0.840 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
26.93% (G:6.87% B:0.89%)
73.07% (G:26.02% B:4.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.850...-0.830) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 11 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56966035
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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