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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout and VARIANTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 9 February 2018, at 12:20 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 133
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDbBB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10

Original position


1.Rollout19/3 6/3eq: +0.323
Player:
Opponent:
58.79% (G:10.86% B:0.55%)
41.21% (G:8.58% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.311...+0.336) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: +0.251 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
57.61% (G:9.92% B:0.37%)
42.39% (G:9.64% B:0.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.237...+0.264) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 33 seconds
1 972 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 81419535
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Above is Stick's rollout of his original position.
Making the 3pt is a blowout, while slotting the 4pt is a blunder.

Below are two cusp variants (i.e., where making the 3pt and slotting the 4pt are tied)

Nack






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---CCbBB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 1 (One of Blues 6pt spares is diversified to the 5pt)


1.Rollout19/3 6/3eq: +0.305
Player:
Opponent:
58.23% (G:11.64% B:0.54%)
41.77% (G:9.40% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.299...+0.311) - [89.2%]
Duration: 26 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: +0.299 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
58.15% (G:11.30% B:0.46%)
41.85% (G:9.51% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.293...+0.306) - [10.8%]
Duration: 29 minutes 07 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56966035
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----DbDB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 2 (Blue's two 4pt checkers are back on his 8pt)


1.Rollout113/4eq: -0.041
Player:
Opponent:
50.40% (G:7.20% B:0.29%)
49.60% (G:13.31% B:0.25%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.048...-0.035) - [87.2%]
Duration: 33 minutes 43 seconds
2.Rollout19/3 6/3eq: -0.047 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
49.60% (G:7.68% B:0.34%)
50.40% (G:14.16% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.053...-0.041) - [12.8%]
Duration: 30 minutes 05 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88903084
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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