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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout and VARIANTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 9 February 2018, at 12:20 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 133 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDbBB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	9/3 6/3	eq: +0.323
	Player: Opponent: 58.79% (G:10.86% B:0.55%) 41.21% (G:8.58% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.311...+0.336) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: +0.251 (-0.073)
	Player: Opponent: 57.61% (G:9.92% B:0.37%) 42.39% (G:9.64% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.237...+0.264) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 33 seconds
1 972 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 81419535 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of his original position.
Making the 3pt is a blowout, while slotting the 4pt is a blunder.

Below are two cusp variants (i.e., where making the 3pt and slotting the 4pt are tied)

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---CCbBB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1 (One of Blues 6pt spares is diversified to the 5pt)

1.	Rollout1	9/3 6/3	eq: +0.305
	Player: Opponent: 58.23% (G:11.64% B:0.54%) 41.77% (G:9.40% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.299...+0.311) - [89.2%] Duration: 26 minutes 38 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: +0.299 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 58.15% (G:11.30% B:0.46%) 41.85% (G:9.51% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.293...+0.306) - [10.8%] Duration: 29 minutes 07 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 56966035 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 139 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----DbDB--bE---abdab----:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2 (Blue's two 4pt checkers are back on his 8pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.041
	Player: Opponent: 50.40% (G:7.20% B:0.29%) 49.60% (G:13.31% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.048...-0.035) - [87.2%] Duration: 33 minutes 43 seconds
2.	Rollout1	9/3 6/3	eq: -0.047 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 49.60% (G:7.68% B:0.34%) 50.40% (G:14.16% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.053...-0.041) - [12.8%] Duration: 30 minutes 05 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 88903084 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
  Stick -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 9:31 a.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
    Michael -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 11:04 a.m.
    • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
      Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 1:36 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 2:51 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 3:17 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 7 February 2018, at 4:20 p.m.
  • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 8 February 2018, at 11:50 a.m.
    • Las Vegas Fish Chouette #8 - Rollout and VARIANTS
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 9 February 2018, at 12:20 a.m.