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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #10 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 11 February 2018, at 11:03 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #10 (Stick)

You can make a case for cubing this in a chouette when you're cubing the field but here it was the field doubling me so the idea of 'getting a pass' does not apply. Some doubled anyway.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 121
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bbBBCBAa--B-B-----bbbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.81% (G:31.38% B:0.93%) 57.94% (G:32.23% B:1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.19% (G:16.85% B:1.42%) 42.06% (G:16.36% B:1.22%)
Cubeless Equities +0.277 +0.631
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.497±0.011 (+0.486..+0.508)
Redouble/Take:+0.361 (-0.137)±0.034 (+0.327..+0.394)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.503)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.6%
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11048542
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 01 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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