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Las Vegas Fish Chouette #11 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 13 February 2018, at 3:09 a.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas Fish Chouette #11 (Stick)

I know OtB I was at least one of many being cubed here. Honesty forget whether I took or drop. I remember saying that I knew if the opp's back checker was on the 24pt I'd take for sure. (even though here it slightly diversifies the opp's #s) So I might have passed, I might have taken. Probably depends on who was playing the checkers on the other side. If it was Ben it's a clear beaver.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 173
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab--B-E-B---cD-A-cae-A----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.46% (G:26.19% B:2.79%) 68.15% (G:26.57% B:3.14%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.54% (G:6.01% B:0.25%) 31.85% (G:6.19% B:0.26%)
Cubeless Equities +0.596 +1.191
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.862 (-0.082)±0.015 (+0.847..+0.877)
Double/Take:+0.944±0.020 (+0.924..+0.964)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.056)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1042481
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 12 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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